Virginia is an interesting state when it comes to the Republican Party and conservative voters. Partly due to the vicinity to Washington DC, and party due to many of the professionally republican living in the state, the hierarchy of the political party apparatus is blue-blooded GOPestablishment yet base of the voting electorate are vulgarian minded conservatives.
This historical antagonism has led to exceptionally polarized outcomes; David Brat defeating consummate GOPe Eric Cantor is the most brutally obvious recently.
The Republican Party of Virginia Trying to Reduce Voter Turnout – Candidate Donald Trump Responds…
Regardless of how low his polling goes, Jeb will remain their guy. All other candidates, except Trump, are factored into the equation of control contained within the original construct of the GOPe (GOP establishment) road map.
Tens of millions in advanced promotional GOPe ad-buys await the new year, the latest count was somewhere North of $70 million. The Super-PAC’s will attempt to blitzkrieg the airwaves in January – shock and awe will meet over the top negativity.
To reference what lies ahead simply remind yourself of Mississippi 2014: Thad Cochran (GOPe) -VS- Mitch Daniels (outsider), only this one will be worse – MUCH WORSE.
The splitter Super-PACs, currently focusing on the elimination of Donald Trump, have ad buys extended through Christmas,. and a half million dollar ad buy extension through the first two weeks of January.
With the rise of candidate Donald Trump the GOPe initially moderated their plan and famously required Trump to sign a GOP Pledge. However, the GOPe had a bigger problem.
What they never anticipated back in 2014 was an influx of non-traditional GOP voters to mess up the entire construct of their low support road map for Jeb.
Dropping Conservatives was considered good strategy, eliminating Republican registration – even better. Heck, solid evidence exists the GOPe were actively trying to drop Republican voter registrations and make control of the party nominee an even easier undertaking.
This approach was reflected in their July/August/September/October confidence.
However, with millions of Independents and even conservative Democrats now supporting a center-right candidacy of Trump, a large segment of the electorate are registering as Republican, or, in many cases, re-registering back as “Republicans” to support Trump’s primary race.
This massive coalition was never anticipated back in 2014 when the nomination road map for Jeb Bush was constructed.
As a consequence several states’ Republican Party Committees began changing their own rules to try and diffuse the Trump risk. Ultimately the goal is to find ways to assist Jeb Bush. North Carolina and Colorado are two previously outlined examples.
The most ‘in-your-face’ approach comes from Virginia – home of GOPe HQ, where they have now developed a “Statement of Intent” which all Republican voters will be forced to sign prior to voting in the primary.
Virginia does not require “voter registration by party”, however in an effort to dissuade the non-traditional republican voter they are forcing all voters to swear party allegiance. We can exclusively share with you the required form, along with the obtuse explanation/justification contained therein:
GOP Statement of Intent
(To be signed at the Presidential Primary polling booth)
Virginia does not register voters by political party. Virginia law allows a political party to ask that voters in its Presidential Primary affiliate with that party.
My signature below indicates that I am a Republican.
Name / Date / E-Mail address / Phone
Justified thusly (via RPV leaked memo):
Today, our Party formally informed the State Board of Elections that the Republican Party of Virginia intends to require a Statement of Intent to be signed by voters in the March 1st Presidential Primary. This request was approved by the State Central Committee on September 19th of this year. Our Party has this option available to us by statute.
Attached you will find a copy of the proposed Statement of Intent. Previously, our opponents in the media have messaged this as a “loyalty oath” that will hinder the participation of our military and civil servants. As you will find by reading the text of the proposed Statement, the statement was specifically constructed to allow for participation by our military personnel and civil servants.
The benefits of this statement are twofold. First, this Statement provides us with a huge opportunity to collect data. As you will notice there is an optional line for email addresses. A similar process was used in the 10th Congressional District canvass in 2014, it yielded over 9,000 email addresses that instantly benefited not only our Party but also our nominee. The statement has the potential to add tens, if not hundreds, of thousands of email addresses for the Party and our nominee.
Second, while that Statement if very broadly construed, it will hopefully deter Democrats from participating in our primary process. Without party registration, preventing Democrats from voting in a state run primary is nearly impossible. Given the critical nature of the 2016 elections, it is imperative to ensure every measure is taken to ensure Republican voters select our Republican nominee and I agree.
We know that the Democrats and the media will do everything to push back on us on this issue. In 2012, the State Board of Elections claimed that printing the statements would cost the Commonwealth $250,000. To be clear this claim is ludicrous! RPV staff have looked into the situation and the cost of printing for 1 million of the Statements would be around $10,000 and distribution to cities and counties would also come in at less than $10,000.
Please email me with any questions or concerns on this issue. Thank you for your time. Also please enjoy your Thanksgiving holiday.
John Findlay, Executive Director – Republican Party of Virginia
However, the brutally obvious question is “why now”? What is it about this primary race that has the GOPe so apoplectic they are requiring pledges and oaths of allegiance?
From a Virginia RPV insider/source:
[…] the goal is to effectively reduce the number of conservatives, independents, and yes democrats who will vote for a non-GOPe candidate (ie. Trump). Party faithful will gladly pledge their allegiance but the rest will stay home. Specifically the RPV is willing to piss off people who will vote republican just to ensure a GOPe candidate. RVP – HQ is a wretched hive of scum and villainy (see Cuccinelli ’13).