I'd say there are a couple of differences between this and Heller. NRA was saying "wait an indeterminate amount of time." We're saying "Wait a couple of years until we establish you have a clear, constitutional right to bear arms, which are doing right now in at least three cases". We're not saying "stop exercising your rights until an undetermined time." We're saying "what you are doing is right now actively screwing with what we're trying to accomplish at this very second. Please just let us finish the line of cases and establish we have a constitutional right to bear, and then let's break this thing wide open." Quite frankly, if California had passed AB1934, it could've been used directly by opposing judges as evidence that "bear" isn't "fundamental to our concept of ordered liberty" and made it less likely for us to get strict scrutiny, which could potentially impact all kinds of gun laws, and not in a good way. (Gray's note: What he's talking about is the district court judges in CAND and certain panels of the 9th Circuit, and also see what he's saying here: Once bear is established as a fundamental right and carry licenses must be issued for self defense, there will likely be further litigation against PC12031 and PC626.9, which is the two laws which are preventing LOC).
NRA's approach with Heller was "let's wait and see if we can get a shift in the makeup of the supreme court." We're actively trying to get court recognition of these rights, using a strategy that we have proven works in two cases, so far. In-your-face UOC is directly undermining this proven strategy, and we're only asking you to wait until the Supreme Court has said "Yes you have a right to bear arms, too," and given our past track record, that's two or three years off.
Once we have that, yes, please open carry in everyone's faces. Heck, I'll join you. But the risk from it right now is that we get laws passed that A) we might not be able to overturn any time soon, and B) that will directly undermine our attempt to get a clear ruling this is constitutionally protected behavior. (Gray's note: Does this look like the posting of an anti-gunner to all of you?)
Aside from that, in California, here's my most realistic fear: CA bans UOC. We sue to say "You can't do that, it violates the 'bear' provision of the 2nd amendment". I'll pause briefly to note here that in bringing that lawsuit, we're not bringing some other lawsuit to overturn some existing crummy law. I'll also note that this lawsuit isn't going to be the one to establish we have a right to "bear", since there will already be other lawsuits on that topic well ahead of it. In that case, we get the decision, "Well, sure, you have a right to bear, but a 12050 license lets you bear," and the Supreme Court doesn't take the case on appeal. You know what? You just locked in, at the last possible moment, that we in California don't have a right to carry without a license. And there's no way to fix it other than getting the legislature to overturn it. (Gray's note: This should be a note to you "what part of 'shall not be infringed do you not understand' types. Civil rights are undermined by stupid cases and stupid decisions by people on the ground)
But, if you wait two years until we've gotten the courts to settle this issue, when it comes up again in the legislature we can go to all the legislators and say, "Look, the Supreme Court just said we have a right to 'bear' - you can't do this!" And that will be enough political cover to keep it from passing. And, even if it does pass, we're starting the case with an on-point Supreme Court case in our back pocket, on our side.
My fear is that a lot of UOCers see this as a tremendous vindication of their approach. It took a ton of work by NRA and CRPA behind the scenes (work, again, that kept them from doing something more productive) to prevent this bill passing - and even then, with all due respect to Tom and Ed, there was more luck than skill involved in us dodging this bullet. I'm getting the vibe from some UOCers that, the tiger was charging them, NRA shot it, and they've now decided they're all immune to tigers.
Back to the original point, I'm deeply saddened that people can't seem to see the difference between NRA's "wait and see, maybe it'll get better" approach with Heller, and our "please stop throwing gasoline on this fire we're trying to put out" approach with "bear".