Thundar
Regular Member
Link to their report:
http://www.mayorsagainstillegalguns.org/downloads/pdf/trace_the_guns_report.pdf
My snapshot analysis:
1) The MAIG Report falsely assumes all traces are from "crime scenes". Nothing could be further from the truth. Many traces are conducted when nothing illegal has taken place. Take for example the 2009 ATF Trace Data for Virginia. The link lists the top 10 reasons for a trace. 49% of the traces have no indication of illegal activity (Possession of a weapon, none and found)
Link to ATF Virginia 2009 Gun Trace Page:
http://www.atf.gov/statistics/download/trace-data/2009/2009-trace-data-virginia.pdf
Look up Alaska while you are there 57% of the traces for Alaska are for non-crime.
2) The correlation is very weak.
70% of all gun traces link back to that state. (30% relevance)
39% of traces are not linked at all (61% relevance)
50% of traces are for non-crime (50% relevance)
30% x 61% x 50% = 9% relevance of out of state firearms trace to crime. I am fairly certain that there is a much higher correlation between govt. corruption and crime than out of state gun traces and crime.
Lots more to talk about, but for now I have to get back to my day job.
http://www.mayorsagainstillegalguns.org/downloads/pdf/trace_the_guns_report.pdf
My snapshot analysis:
1) The MAIG Report falsely assumes all traces are from "crime scenes". Nothing could be further from the truth. Many traces are conducted when nothing illegal has taken place. Take for example the 2009 ATF Trace Data for Virginia. The link lists the top 10 reasons for a trace. 49% of the traces have no indication of illegal activity (Possession of a weapon, none and found)
Link to ATF Virginia 2009 Gun Trace Page:
http://www.atf.gov/statistics/download/trace-data/2009/2009-trace-data-virginia.pdf
Look up Alaska while you are there 57% of the traces for Alaska are for non-crime.
2) The correlation is very weak.
70% of all gun traces link back to that state. (30% relevance)
39% of traces are not linked at all (61% relevance)
50% of traces are for non-crime (50% relevance)
30% x 61% x 50% = 9% relevance of out of state firearms trace to crime. I am fairly certain that there is a much higher correlation between govt. corruption and crime than out of state gun traces and crime.
Lots more to talk about, but for now I have to get back to my day job.