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Saw something last nite on the news kiro 11pm....

slapmonkay

slapmonkay

Campaign Veteran
Joined
May 6, 2011
Messages
1,308
Location
Montana
Their numbers are totally incorrect. Population count does not match census data and does not filter by age 21+.

The listed population in the article/map for my zip code has 27,942. However, according to the last census my zip code has 17,493. In addition, that included all individuals such as minors and felons. Criminals/felons aside, my zip code has a age ratio of 27.4% under 18 years of age according to the last census. Indicating the true number of individuals over the age of 18 is somewhere in the range of 12,700.

The next age break in census data is 18-24 so I could not get accurate count per 21+ however given a average count per age I estimate 843 individuals between 18 and 21.

So the true estimated amount of citizens 21+ in my zip is around 11,857.

Now if my calculations are correct and the census data is accurate a more realistic percentage of CPL's in my zipcode is actually 14.6% instead of the 6% portraiture on their map. That's 1 out of every 6.8 adults 21+ in my zip code having a CPL. This does not include people that does not have CPL's, only keep firearms in their home, etc.

If your truly interested in the numbers for your area, I would take the CPL count for your zip code and calculate it yourself with reliable numbers.
 
Whitney

Whitney

Regular Member
Joined
Jan 12, 2010
Messages
435
Location
Poulsbo, Kitsap County, Washington, USA
Numbers and Demographics

slapmonkay said:
Their numbers are totally incorrect. Population count does not match census data and does not filter by age 21+.

The listed population in the article/map for my zip code has 27,942. However, according to the last census my zip code has 17,493. In addition, that included all individuals such as minors and felons. Criminals/felons aside, my zip code has a age ratio of 27.4% under 18 years of age according to the last census. Indicating the true number of individuals over the age of 18 is somewhere in the range of 12,700.

The next age break in census data is 18-24 so I could not get accurate count per 21+ however given a average count per age I estimate 843 individuals between 18 and 21.

So the true estimated amount of citizens 21+ in my zip is around 11,857.

Now if my calculations are correct and the census data is accurate a more realistic percentage of CPL's in my zipcode is actually 14.6% instead of the 6% portraiture on their map. That's 1 out of every 6.8 adults 21+ in my zip code having a CPL. This does not include people that does not have CPL's, only keep firearms in their home, etc.

If your truly interested in the numbers for your area, I would take the CPL count for your zip code and calculate it yourself with reliable numbers.
Click to expand...

If you want to see something real interesting do a FOIA request for the CPL data yourself.
Ask for all the data then sort it by gender; Male, Female, and Other.

I have not done this myself for a couple years now, however, Women seem to be applying for CPL's at a faster rate than men.
Now there is a head scratcher for the bean counters to work out.

~Whitney
 
hermannr

hermannr

Regular Member
Joined
Mar 24, 2011
Messages
2,327
Location
Okanogan Highland
Whitney said:
If you want to see something real interesting do a FOIA request for the CPL data yourself.
Ask for all the data then sort it by gender; Male, Female, and Other.

I have not done this myself for a couple years now, however, Women seem to be applying for CPL's at a faster rate than men.
Now there is a head scratcher for the bean counters to work out.

~Whitney
Click to expand...

I don't think that women applying for CPL's at a higher rate is something strange. Look at the number of violent rapes, and what sex is most likely to get raped???? More women in the workplace, more women out and about, more women vulnerable and more women are realizing, they cannot rely on the system for their protection???

I have a 19 year old grand-daughter that can't wait for her 21st birthday...not so she can go partying, but so she can apply for her CPL...:)
 
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