Freedom First
Regular Member
Just got a reply from the DOL Firearms department regarding a question I had had asked, "How many CPLs are active right now in Washington State?" The answer really suprised me since I honestly thought the number would be much higher.
Washington State Population from last census: 6.6 million
Active CPL holders: 276,612
>>Delete public schoolin' math skills and insert Mr Gray's math skills<<
Jeeze.
:banghead::cuss::banghead:
All the more reason to be armed at all times. The 911 gun doesn't work for the first few minutes and you obviously cannot hope that the guy next to you will save your family from the crazy with a firearm since he probably isn't carrying either...
This video says it all. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n5n7inTI1dc
Washington State Population from last census: 6.6 million
Active CPL holders: 276,612
>>Delete public schoolin' math skills and insert Mr Gray's math skills<<
That's not the way the numbers run, at least when I do them.
the fraction of the population in WA with a CPL is 276612/6.6 million = 4.19%
So for a single person, the odds that they have a CPL is 4.2%, or about 1 in 24. And the odds that they DON'T have a CPL is (1-.042), or 95.8%, or 23 out of 24.
Now, if you have two people, the odds that NEITHER has a CPL is .958^2, or 91.9%. And for 10 people, the odds that none of them have a CPL is .958^10, or 65.8%. So about 2/3rds of the time, a group of 10 randomly chosen WA residents will not have a CPL holder among them, presuming that it's a representative selection. Conversely, about 1/3rd of the time, it will have at least one CPL holder.
And with 100 people, the odds that none has a CPL is .958^100, or 1.4%. That's a 1 in 67 chance. The odds that at least one CPL holder is in the group of 100 are 66 in 67, very likely.
All this is ignoring the fact that a substantial fraction of that 6.6 million is under the age of 21 and thus is ineligible for a CPL. According the the census, 24% is under the age of 18 according to the census, so that alone changes the numbers substantially. Roughly 5.5% of WA residents over the age of 18 has a CPL, and the odds that a random selection of 100 such residents over the age of 18 has zero CPL holders in it are about 1 in 291.
Jeeze.
:banghead::cuss::banghead:
All the more reason to be armed at all times. The 911 gun doesn't work for the first few minutes and you obviously cannot hope that the guy next to you will save your family from the crazy with a firearm since he probably isn't carrying either...
This video says it all. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n5n7inTI1dc
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